Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.642272 3.047455 3.494870 4.025737 4.638727 5.324685 6.151091
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.076446 2.600714 3.229199 4.038842 5.055540 6.291806 7.912213
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.668072 2.244792 2.987482 4.015615 5.405164 7.222666 9.788639
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.320297 1.894247 2.682128 3.845336 5.524524 7.869569 11.409480
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.058349 1.608489 2.408412 3.660079 5.577943 8.420095 12.979357
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.915257 1.466592 2.311771 3.706981 5.965616 9.501429 15.501991
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.771622 1.297659 2.143984 3.611317 6.109593 10.222616 17.574238
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.711804 1.252667 2.163283 3.816730 6.769044 11.866385 21.435649
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.649042 1.191467 2.144130 3.950033 7.320938 13.405532 25.365227
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.578276 1.104127 2.064778 3.960514 7.649010 14.589604 28.832257
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.491689 0.973682 1.886990 3.757939 7.541544 14.942422 30.752652
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.458667 0.941078 1.888269 3.900585 8.126271 16.710578 35.784280
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.434162 0.923798 1.920895 4.120017 8.920418 19.059671 42.520818
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.398656 0.878281 1.889703 4.201896 9.440311 20.926639 48.562427
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.362103 0.824817 1.833822 4.221385 9.827489 22.571014 54.407291
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.317231 0.745792 1.710447 4.068918 9.797919 23.274335 58.168951
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.276769 0.670564 1.584214 3.888862 9.671855 23.728440 61.396438
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.256734 0.640885 1.559340 3.949132 10.142515 25.695678 68.824740
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.229898 0.590381 1.477157 3.853533 10.204040 26.654295 73.782214
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.223020 0.589330 1.516754 4.077260 11.135686 30.003539 85.874750
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.212476 0.577105 1.526162 4.222637 11.881571 32.984328 97.499745
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.196801 0.548725 1.489224 4.235645 12.262843 35.031040 106.799985
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.173303 0.495239 1.377189 4.019847 11.954412 35.082567 110.118063